Tag: DFW Growth

  • Everyone But Me

    Everyone But Me

    As it turns out, not everyone.

    I never got into gaming.

    But it felt like everybody else had a console, a headset, and a whole second life happening on a screen I wasn’t looking at. My kids, their friends, plenty of adults…even some older than me. So I made an assumption and never questioned it.

    If everybody’s playing, somebody must be making a fortune.

    Then I read something about Microsoft and the Xbox recently.

    They have spent billions building games, buying studios, and chasing market share, only to discover that popularity and profitability aren’t the same thing. From the outside it looked like an easy business. From the inside it was far more complicated.

    It’s a good reminder that what “everybody knows” is often just the part everyone can see.

    Land works the same way.

    If you own property anywhere near the DFW growth path, you’ve probably heard the stories.

    A neighbor sold for three times what he paid. Somebody got bought out for a data center. A family down the road suddenly became millionaires.

    Those stories spread fast. Before long, they become what “everyone knows.”

    Sometimes they’re even true.

    The problem is that they usually don’t tell you much about your property.

    Land values can change from one road to the next. Sometimes from one side of the fence to the other. Access, utilities, topography, floodplain, buyer demand, surrounding uses, and dozens of other factors can push one tract well above or well below the one everyone keeps talking about.

    That’s why I think there’s a difference between hearing what land is worth and knowing what your land is worth.

    Most people don’t need that answer today. You’re probably not considering selling. You may even plan to never sell.

    But when life changes, a health issue, an estate, a buyer calling unexpectedly, or a family decision, that’s a terrible time to discover you’ve been relying on local folklore instead of current market information.


    P.S.– Most landowners who request an MBR Land Reality Check aren’t planning to sell.

    They simply want to know where they stand before they ever need the answer.

    The report includes recent comparable sales, current market activity, and my opinion of what a reasonable buyer might pay today, without any obligation to sell.

    Is it a bad idea to know?

    Get It Here


    P.P.S.– If you’re not interested in a Land Reality Check but enjoy reading about land, markets, and North Texas growth, you can subscribe to my occasional emails below.

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  • Still No End In Sight?

    Still No End In Sight?

    (Cue the standard disclaimer: I’m not a CPA or an attorney, I’m a real estate broker. None of this is financial or legal advice—it’s for informational and illustrative purposes only. If you have questions in those areas, talk to the right professional.)

    (I also don’t know the future. So even if I think I’m right, or even if you think I’m right, no guarantees)

    (Got it? OK.)

    When I first started in this business, we were just coming out of the S&L crisis. Deregulation had fueled a bubble in land prices, it burst, and many financial institutions failed.

    Lots of people went to jail. They are all out now, some of them are back in the land business. Based on my dealings with some of them, they didn’t all magically become honest in prison.

    The government stepped in to sell off all the foreclosed real estate. At first, buyers were gun-shy. But the ones who moved fast picked up incredible deals—they just had to hold while things normalized.

    Before long, values came roaring back. That’s when the doubts started. Many believed the upside was gone and that prices would turn south.

    Sound familiar?

    I remember a quarterly newsletter from an investment firm at the time. Investors were nervous. So the headline was simple and bold:

    A Boom That Won’t Go Away.

    The point was clear: what people thought was the ceiling was really the new floor. Population growth meant values had room to keep climbing.

    He was right. In the 25 years since, every deal I thought was overpriced turned out cheap in hindsight. My only mistake was doing too much due diligence.

    We’re in a similar spot today. Values have risen for so long that people wonder if there’s any toothpaste left in the tube. Nobody can predict the future—but the DFW area is still projected to add millions of people over the next 10–15 years.

    Some even say it could be the biggest metro in the U.S. by 2100.

    I’ll be about 130 then, can’t wait to see if they are right!

    Does any of this guarantee anything? No.

    But as they say in the stock market, the trend is your friend. And until the trend changes, the party (probably) isn’t over.