Tag: long term thinking

  • The Sun Is Probably Coming Up Tomorrow

    The Sun Is Probably Coming Up Tomorrow

    Most people wake up these days and, they already know the world is ending before they’ve had their first cup of coffee.

    Used to be you’d flip on the morning news. Maybe Good Morning America. You’d hear some bad news, sure, but then there’d be a segment on a dog that learned to skateboard, or some heartwarming story about a kid raising money for his neighbor. You’d get the weather. Somebody would laugh too loud at something that wasn’t that funny.

    Now people roll over, grab the phone, and start scrolling. And the algorithm figured out a long time ago that outrage keeps you looking longer than a skateboarding dog does. So that’s what it feeds you, nonstop, before you’ve put your feet on the floor.

    Right now it’s the war that was going to end but now it isn’t (oh wait, yes it is, never mind it’s not). Gas is either already too high or about to get worse, depending on which story you read first. Or we’re living in a dystopian nightmare. It’s exhausting, it’ll ruin your morning or your whole day before it starts if you let it.

    But it’s always been this way, just maybe not quite as much in our faces.

    Just a few years ago we were all going to die. A sizable number of serious people were saying civilization was a few days away from coming apart. We’re still here.

    Before that, a particular election was going to send everything straight into the toilet. Whichever one you’re thinking of, someone said that about it. They all came and went and things are moving along. Most people would never even notice a difference if they weren’t told about it.

    Before that, the housing market had crashed and the same people who swore the crash wasn’t coming turned around and swore it would never recover. It recovered so much that now those same people say nobody can afford a house.

    Before that, terrorists were going to get us all. Hasn’t happened yet.

    Before that, the oceans were going to swallow everything if we didn’t figure out how to control the temperature of the sun. Still waiting on that one too, Al.

    Before that, nuclear holocaust by 1985. Wrong again.

    Before that, economic malaise was all we had to look forward to. Until things started growing so fast the 80s were known as the decade of greed.

    Eventually something is going to get us. That’s just the nature of things.

    But until then, you’ve got a life to live. And a morning to get through. If you spend it marinating in whatever disaster the algorithm decided you should be upset about today, you’ll make worse decisions, be harder to be around, and see problems everywhere, including in places that are actually fine.

    Here’s a pretty decent rule of thumb: if someone says it’s different this time or we will never recover from (insert problem here), they probably aren’t worth listening to.

    There will always be a reason to run and hide, if you just look for one.

    But the sun’s probably coming up tomorrow. Plan accordingly.

    PPS- If you’re not ready for a Reality Check but enjoy reading about land, markets, and how to think about both, you can sign up below and get these posts in your inbox.

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  • Have You Heard About the Miracle Hangover Cure?

    Have You Heard About the Miracle Hangover Cure?

    One thing I’ve learned — about business, health, and life in general — is that you can’t tactic your way out of a structural problem.

    If the big stuff isn’t handled correctly, what you do with the small stuff doesn’t really matter. Maybe it works in the immediate term, but it won’t work long term.

    Most people try anyway. It’s easier. It feels productive. It gives you that little hit of “I’m doing something.”

    But it never lasts.

    Think about weight loss.

    People jump on crash diets, detox teas, miracle supplements, or now the latest round of drugs. And look — if a doctor prescribes you something and it helps, great. But none of those things fix the basic structure.

    Your life still has to be built around eating like an adult and moving your body a little. If the structure isn’t right, the tactics are temporary.

    (And if you look at me, you might say I’m not the one who should be talking about that.)

    Same with hangovers. You can chug coffee, pound aspirin, and inhale greasy food, but the structural solution is simple: don’t overdrink in the first place. That one change eliminates all the elaborate morning-after tactics people swap like stock tips.

    Most agents live entirely in tactics. Post more. Boost the ad. Send a mailer. Hack the algorithm. Pay for leads. Hustle harder. They chase the next trick because their structure is wrong.

    The structure — the part underneath everything — is the set of principles you operate from. Things like:

    • Be honest about value.
    • Tell people what they need to hear.
    • Keep clients for years, not transactions.
    • Make your marketing useful instead of loud.
    • Communicate like an adult.
    • Have a real process for valuation, pricing, and negotiation instead of winging it.

    If those structural pieces are solid, almost any tactic becomes productive.

    A mailer works. A blog post works. A phone call works. Because the foundation is right, the activity sits on something stable.

    You’re not trying to manufacture momentum out of thin air — you’re adding fuel to a fire that’s already burning.

    But if the structure is wrong?

    Then the tactics are just noise. They might get you a listing here or there, but they don’t build anything.

    You’ll have a great month followed by three dead ones. You’ll land clients who treat you like a commodity.

    You’ll work twice as hard for half the result because you’re patching problems you created by ignoring the fundamentals.

    And here’s the uncomfortable part: building the right structure isn’t flashy. You can’t brag about it on Instagram. It’s slow habits, consistent communication, telling the truth when it costs you money, and doing things well when nobody’s watching.

    Once the structure is right, tactics finally matter. They multiply. They compound. They stop being desperate moves and start being force multipliers.

    Most people will keep reaching for the aspirin instead of fixing the drinking problem. But if you build the right structure first, you won’t need nearly as many tactics — and the ones you do use will actually work.

    PS — You’re probably not an agent, and probably aren’t buying or selling land today. But the point still applies to you: set the stage ahead of time and things go much smoother when it’s showtime.

    I offer a free, no-obligation opinion of value on any non-residential property. You’ll get real comps in your area and everything pertinent to your situation.

    Development starting nearby? New roads? Utility issues on the horizon? You’ll know about it.

    Delivered with integrity.

    Based on a system developed over 20+ years, not overnight tactics.

    Is it ever a bad idea to be prepared?

    Click below to get started: