In God we trust, all others require proof.
Years ago, one of the first large deals I worked on was a 375-acre tract in Collin County.
I brokered it into a partnership controlled by my father for about $2,800 an acre. About a year later, we sold it for roughly $8,000 an acre.
That was a good deal. Probably the highest annualized return we’ve had on a single transaction.
Now, if we’d waited until today, that same land might be worth $50,000 an acre. Or more.
But you can’t think that way. Not seriously.
If you do, you’ll drive yourself crazy.
What matters is what happened next.
After the sale, the developer built one-acre lots and things went well. Naturally, they wanted another deal. There was a large tract right next to the one we’d just sold, and one of the first rules of land is that your most likely next seller is the neighbor.
So I called the owner.
She was polite enough. I sent over an offer, a little higher than what the previous land had traded for. I think it was around $8,500 an acre.
She called me back, said no, and laughed a bit. Then she told me she knew for a fact that the land next to her had sold for over $10,000 an acre.
It hadn’t.
I knew that because I was involved in the deal.
Normally, when someone says something like that, I let it go. Real estate is full of hearsay. So is life. People hear things, repeat them, and treat them as facts without ever checking.
Most of the time, it’s not malicious. It’s just wrong.
But I was trying to make a deal, so I offered to send her part of the closing statement. Not the whole thing. Just enough to show the actual number.
I told her, “I don’t know where you heard that, but I was the seller and the broker. That price isn’t right.”
Her response was simple. She still wanted more. She’d rather wait.
That was fine.
She did wait. And she did very well. That land is now a small-lot subdivision. I don’t know what she ultimately got for it, but it was probably closer to that $50,000-an-acre number.
Good for her.
The point isn’t that she was wrong to wait. The point is the information she was relying on wasn’t accurate.
That’s the warning here.
In real estate, and in life generally, if you didn’t see something firsthand or in writing, there’s a good chance it’s wrong. Not because someone is lying, but because everyone along the chain thinks the last person knew what they were talking about.
You see this all day long. So-and-so did this. So-and-so got that. No context. No details. And usually, no way to know if it’s even close to true.
That’s why anything you hear from me is either firsthand knowledge or something written and documented that I’ve actually seen.
If what I tell you sounds different from what you’re hearing elsewhere, that’s probably why.
PS- I offer a free, no obligation analysis of any non-residential property. It shows recent sales in the immediate area, potential/planned development, utility info, and anything else that may be of value for you to know.
With the sales, it will be real, documented info not hearsay.
You might not be ready to sell today. But is it ever a bad idea to get the latest info?
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